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They don’t possess the money and they cannot borrow it from other banks because interbank lending has all but dried up. Most of them already are technically insolvent. They may be alsoover-exposed to emerging markets in Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia. Car repossessions are up 25% in Romania, as the known users of a newly-minted class of individuals are unable to meet their responsibilities. Austrian, Greek, Swedish, and German banks face default risks throughout Central and Eastern Europe.
290 billion – almost the entire GDP of this country! As local currencies depreciate, obligations, denominated in foreign exchange, grow more expensive to service. As the true economy contracts, in the first stage of what is apparently a prolonged downturn, bad loans mushroom and reserves are fatigued. This involves cash-strapped governments to recapitalize major banking institutions. Faced with the current budget and account deficits, a few of these sovereigns are scrambling for outside infusions from the likes of the IMF.
Europe’s recession will be serious and protracted. Asia is likely to follow suit: Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan are already technically in downturn and China’s growth rate is abating. A contraction of GDP in both India and China is no longer inconceivable. It again seems that yet, the united states will be faced with the intimidating task of dragging all of those other world back again to growth and profitability. To fund enormous bailout deals for the financial sector (and potentially the auto and mining sectors) as well as fiscal stimulus programs, governments shall have to issue trillions folks dollars in new bonds.
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- It depends upon personal situation (as you quoted, for example you need the money normally)
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Consequently, the costs of bonds are bound to come under great pressure from the source side. But the demand side will probably drive the next global financial crisis: the crash of the connection markets. Moreover, as countries that keep trillions in federal government bonds (mainly US treasuries) start to feel the pinch of the global turmoil, they’ll be pressured to liquidate their bond holdings to be able to fund their needs.
In other words, connection prices are poised to crash precipitously. In the last 50 years, bond prices have collapsed by more than 35% at least on three occasions. This time around, though, such a turn of events will be nothing lacking cataclysmic: more than ever, government authorities are counting on practical supplementary and primary relationship marketplaces for his or her financing needs. There is no other way to raise the massive amounts of capital had a need to salvage the global economy.